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Home › Spain › La Liga › Elche — Getafe

Elche vs Getafe 1:0: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Elche
Elche
Home · last 5 L D L W D
Kick-off
Sun 17 May · 17:00
1:0
Full-time
Getafe
Getafe
L D W L W Away · last 5
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero · Elche Referee V. Garcia
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 51% · book 2.34 ✓
Miss
Over 1.5
Over 1.5
AI 62% · book 1.62 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 59% · book 1.67 ✓
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
0.46 – 0.08
Δ +0.38
Possession
59% – 41%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.30 — +3.2% better than the market.

Elche holds a clear edge at home with a stronger overall profile and a more effective attack against Getafe's leaky defense. Their recent form shows home momentum, while Getafe struggles to convert chances despite occasional wins. The tactical battle favors Elche's compact block and set-piece threat, likely keeping the game tight but tilted towards the hosts.

  • Home side's defensive solidity versus away's modest offense
  • Elche's recent winning streak at home
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 1.30 ✓ Cashed
AI 79% Implied 77% +0.30u
+30%
ROI on stake

Lineups

ELC 3-5-2 · GET 5-3-2
Subs used · ELC
66' Pedrosa ↑ · Silva ↓
84' Donald ↑ · Aguado ↓
84' Cepeda ↑ · Diangana ↓
85' Sangare ↑ · Chust ↓
86' Josan ↑ · Rodriguez ↓
Subs used · GET
53' Davinchi ↑ · Caceres ↓
71' Vazquez ↑ · Nyom ↓
72' Abqar ↑ · Duarte ↓
85' Birmancevic ↑ · Martin ↓

Statistics

ELC 1 – 0 GET
59%
Possession (%)
41%
0.46
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.08
10
Total Shots
3
3
Shots on Target
0
4
Shots off Target
2
4
Shots Inside Box
1
4
Corner Kicks
0
4
Offsides
1
18
Fouls
13
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
69%
3
Yellow Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

14 · 1 – 0
V. Chust
1–0
⚽
19'
39'
▮
Djene
Red Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
53'
⇄
Davinchi ↓ · D. Caceres ↑
Substitution 1
Andre Silva
Yellow Card
▮
66'
A. Pedrosa ↓ · Andre Silva ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
66'
A. Rodriguez
Yellow Card
▮
69'
71'
⇄
L. Vazquez ↓ · A. Nyom ↑
Substitution 2
72'
⇄
A. Abqar ↓ · D. Duarte ↑
Substitution 3
M. Neto
Yellow Card
▮
78'
J. Donald ↓ · M. Aguado ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
84'
L. Cepeda ↓ · G. Diangana ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
84'
Buba Sangare ↓ · V. Chust ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
85'
85'
⇄
V. Birmancevic ↓ · M. Martin ↑
Substitution 4
Josan ↓ · A. Rodriguez ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
86'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Elche beat Getafe 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 83% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 10 shots to 3, 3 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 4 to 0. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: V. Chust (19'). Djene was sent off in the 39' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.84 units (Brier 0.140).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.34 2.30 51% Cashed +1.34 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.62 1.50 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.67 1.67 59% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Under 1.5 2.55 2.60 38% Cashed +1.55 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.75 2.62 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.20 2.12 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.67 1.59 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.60 2.44 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.30 1.30 79% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.47 1.50 65% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Draw 3.00 2.89 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.58 1.59 51% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.11 1.08 86% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.14 1.14 83% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Over 3.5 5.50 5.00 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 6.50 6.49 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.94 3.55 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.84u −23% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
ELC – GET @ 1.30
+3.2%
Edge
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