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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Oviedo — Alaves

Match Oviedo vs Alaves May 17, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Oviedo
Oviedo
Home · last 5 L D L L L
Kick-off
Sun 17 May · 17:00
0:1
Full-time
Alaves
Alaves
L D W W L Away · last 5
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere · Oviedo Referee J. Munuera
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 63% · book 1.80
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 57% · book 1.95
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 56% · book 2.00
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.34 – 1.46
Δ −1.12
Possession
70% – 30%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.80 — +12.9% better than the market.

Alaves arrive with a clear quality edge and stronger offensive potential against Oviedo's leaky defense. Despite Oviedo's home ground, their recent form shows inconsistency, while Alaves have momentum from better recent results. The tactical battle favors Alaves' sharper attack against a vulnerable backline, suggesting a controlled away performance.

  • Alaves' offensive edge vs Oviedo's defense
  • Home side's patchy recent form
  • Moderate pace expected with under 2.5 goals likely

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.80 ✓ Cashed
AI 63% Implied 56% +0.80u
+80%
ROI on stake

Lineups

OVI 4-2-3-1 · ALA 4-4-2
Subs used · OVI
46' Fernandez ↑ · Fonseca
66' Chaira ↑ · Colombatto
79' Fores ↑ · Vinas
79' Borbas ↑ · Hassan
85' Vidal ↑ · Ahijado
Subs used · ALA
46' Yusi ↑ · Rebbach
69' Manas ↑ · Diabate
69' Ibanez ↑ · Suarez
82' Boye ↑ · Martinez
87' Protesoni ↑ · Guridi

📊 Statistics

OVI 01 ALA
70%
Possession (%)
30%
0.34
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.46
7
Total Shots
7
0
Shots on Target
1
4
Shots off Target
4
4
Shots Inside Box
5
5
Corner Kicks
2
13
Fouls
18
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
72%
3
Yellow Cards
1

Match events

15 · 0 – 1
17'
T. Martinez
Assist · A. Rebbach · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
T. Fernandez ↓ · N. Fonseca ↑
Substitution 1
46'
46'
Yusi ↓ · A. Rebbach ↑
Substitution 1
T. Fernandez
Yellow Card
48'
F. Vinas
Yellow Card
65'
I. Chaira ↓ · S. Colombatto ↑
Substitution 2
66'
69'
A. Manas ↓ · I. Diabate ↑
Substitution 2
69'
P. Ibanez ↓ · D. Suarez ↑
Substitution 3
L. Ahijado
Yellow Card
71'
A. Fores ↓ · F. Vinas ↑
Substitution 3
79'
T. Borbas ↓ · H. Hassan ↑
Substitution 4
79'
82'
L. Boye ↓ · T. Martinez ↑
Substitution 4
N. Vidal ↓ · L. Ahijado ↑
Substitution 5
85'
87'
C. Protesoni ↓ · J. Guridi ↑
Substitution 5
90+4'
Yusi
Yellow Card
Full-time · 0 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.80 1.76 63% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
BTTS No 1.95 1.85 57% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
Away Win 2.00 2.00 56% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.92 1.78 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.23 2.20 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.75 1.87 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.40 3.10 36% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Under 0.5 12.00 8.47 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.28 1.22 81% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.29 1.26 81% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.48 1.46 56% Cashed +0.48 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.20 3.75 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.86 3.40 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 1.06 89% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.93 2.82 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.36 1.33 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.96 3.85 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.76u −16% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
OVI – ALA @ 1.80
+12.9%
Edge
Forecast →