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Home › Spain › La Liga › Athletic Club — Celta Vigo

Predictions by Market: Athletic Club vs Celta Vigo

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Home · last 5 W L L D L
Kick-off
Sun 17 May · 17:00
1:1
Full-time
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
W W L D W Away · last 5
Referee I. Diaz

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BIL
36%
Best 2.32
Draw
28%
Best 3.29
Away Win · CEL
36%
Best 3.58
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.70
Fair odds
1.57
book 1.70 · +8.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 64% · EV +8.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (64%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 36.2%
Odds 2.29
Show model details
Implied probability 43.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 35.7%
Odds 3.72
Show model details
Implied probability 26.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 28.1%
Odds 3.23
Show model details
Implied probability 31%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 45%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 55%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 30.1%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 24.2%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 69.9%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 75.8%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 10%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 50.5%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 49.5%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 35.7%
Odds 2.59
Show model details
Implied probability 38.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 36.2%
Odds 1.59
Show model details
Implied probability 62.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 63.9%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 64.3%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
BIL – CEL @ 1.70
+8.5%
Edge
Forecast →