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Home › Spain › La Liga › Girona — Real Sociedad

Predictions by Market: Girona vs Real Sociedad

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Girona
Girona
Home · last 5 L D D L D
Kick-off
Thu 14 May · 18:00
1:1
Full-time
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
L D D L D Away · last 5
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi · Girona Referee M. Sesma

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · GIR
43%
Best 1.96
Draw
24%
Best 3.96
Away Win · RSO
34%
Best 3.94
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 14.40
Fair odds
12.76
book 14.40 · +12.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 8% · EV +12.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (92%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 42.5%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 33.7%
Odds 3.94
Show model details
Implied probability 25.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 24.2%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 50.3%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 49.7%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 28.9%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 25.8%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 71.1%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.8%
Odds 14.40
Show model details
Implied probability 6.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.2%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 74.2%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 46.2%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53.8%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 35.2%
Odds 2.72
Show model details
Implied probability 36.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 40.5%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 57.5%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 66.4%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
GIR – RSO @ 14.40
+12.9%
Edge
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