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Home Spain La Liga Elche — Alaves

Predictions Elche vs Alaves May 9, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga
Elche
Elche
Home · last 5 L D L W D
Kick-off
Sat 09 May · 12:00
1:1
Full-time
Alaves
Alaves
L D W W L Away · last 5
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero · Elche Referee M. Busquets
Home Win · ELC
50%
Best 2.38
Draw
26%
Best 3.35
Away Win · ALA
24%
Best 3.37
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.00
Fair odds
1.92
book 2.00 · +4.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 52% · EV +4.2%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 49.6%
Odds 2.34
Show model details
Implied probability 42.7%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 26.2%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 24.3%
Odds 3.42
Show model details
Implied probability 29.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 52.1%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 47.9%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 26.8%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8.5%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 73.1%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.5%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 73.3%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 26.9%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 47.5%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 52.5%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 49.6%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 24.3%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 50.4%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 75.7%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.