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Home › Spain › La Liga › Osasuna — Barcelona

Osasuna vs Barcelona 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Osasuna
Osasuna
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Sat 02 May · 19:00
1:2
Full-time
Barcelona
Barcelona
W W L W L Away · last 5
Referee Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 61% · book 1.81 ✓
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 47% · book 2.45 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 38% · book 2.50 ✗
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
0.91 – 1.20
Δ −0.29
Possession
30% – 70%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.81 — +11.2% better than the market.

Barcelona enters this La Liga clash with a clear quality edge and strong recent form, boasting a potent attack against Osasuna's less robust defense. Despite Osasuna's home momentum and solid defensive shape, the visitors' pressing and offensive firepower should create chances. The match hints at a lively pace with over 2.5 goals likely, given Barcelona's attacking prowess and Osasuna's occasional defensive lapses.

  • Barcelona's superior offensive quality challenges Osasuna's defense.
  • Home side's recent form shows resilience but limited scoring.
  • Expect a dynamic game with chances on both ends.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 1.81 ✓ Cashed
AI 61% Implied 55% +0.81u
+81%
ROI on stake

Lineups

OSA 4-2-3-1 · BAR 4-2-3-1
OSA · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · BAR 1 Herrera 19 Rosier 22 Boyomo 24 Catena 20 Galán 7 Moncayola 6 Torró 14 García 16 Gómez 18 Moro 17 Budimir 13 García 24 García 5 Cubarsí 18 Martín 2 Cancelo 6 Gavi 8 Pedri 19 Bardghji 20 Olmo 16 López 9 Lewandowski ⚽
Subs used · OSA
70' Garcia ↑ · Budimir ↓
70' Oroz ↑ · Gomez ↓
85' Barja ↑ · Torro ↓
85' Osambela ↑ · Moncayola ↓
86' Bretones ↑ · Garcia ↓
Subs used · BAR
62' Torres ↑ · Olmo ↓
62' de Jong ↑ · Gavi ↓
62' Rashford ↑ · Bardghji ↓
82' Araujo ↑ · Garcia ↓
88' Bernal ↑ · Pedri ↓

Statistics

OSA 1 – 2 BAR
30%
Possession (%)
70%
0.91
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.20
9
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Shots off Target
6
6
Shots Inside Box
9
3
Corner Kicks
7
4
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
10
70%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
1
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

16 · 1 – 2
24'
▮
Gavi
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
60'
▮
E. Garcia
Yellow Card
62'
⇄
F. Torres ↓ · D. Olmo ↑
Substitution 1
62'
⇄
F. de Jong ↓ · Gavi ↑
Substitution 2
62'
⇄
M. Rashford ↓ · R. Bardghji ↑
Substitution 3
R. Garcia ↓ · A. Budimir ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
70'
A. Oroz ↓ · M. Gomez ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
70'
J. Moncayola
Yellow Card
▮
74'
81'
⚽
R. Lewandowski
Assist · M. Rashford · 0–1
82'
⇄
R. Araujo ↓ · E. Garcia ↑
Substitution 4
K. Barja ↓ · L. Torro ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
85'
A. Osambela ↓ · J. Moncayola ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
85'
A. Bretones ↓ · R. Garcia ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
86'
86'
⚽
F. Torres
Assist · Fermin · 0–2
88'
⇄
M. Bernal ↓ · Pedri ↑
Substitution 5
R. Garcia
Assist · A. Bretones · 1–2
⚽
88'
Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Barcelona won 2–1 away at Osasuna. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 70% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 90% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 9, 4 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: R. Lewandowski (81'), F. Torres (86'), R. Garcia (88').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.71 units (Brier 0.092).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.81 1.72 61% Cashed +0.81 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.45 2.46 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.50 2.28 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.65 1.53 53% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.55 2.42 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.12 2.10 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.57 1.62 68% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.23 1.18 84% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.53 1.57 62% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.30 1.29 61% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.17 1.17 85% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 1.03 96% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Draw 4.00 3.95 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.50 4.50 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.72 4.63 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 17.00 16.39 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.45 3.46 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.71u −34% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
OSA – BAR @ 1.81
+11.2%
Edge
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