Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano 0:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 2.57 — +9.4% better than the market.

Getafe holds a slight edge in quality and home momentum, showing better recent form and a compact defensive setup that could frustrate Rayo Vallecano. The visitors boast a stronger attack but face a tough defensive challenge, suggesting a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances. Expect a moderately paced game leaning towards a low-scoring affair given the defensive solidity and cautious approach from both sides.

Home defensive resilience vs away attacking threat
Recent form favors Getafe's home confidence
Likely controlled tempo with few high-risk moves

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 2.57 ✗ Lost

AI 43% Implied 39% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

GET 5-3-2 · RAY 4-2-3-1

GET · 5-3-2 4-2-3-1 · RAY

10 Satriano

Subs used · GET

46'

Sancris ↑ ·

Femenía ↓

46'

Rico ↑ ·

Liso ↓

46'

Kamara ↑ ·

Davinchi ↓

79'

Mayoral ↑ ·

Vázquez ↓

79'

Muñoz ↑ ·

Milla ↓

Subs used · RAY

68'

Rațiu ↑ ·

Alemão ↓

68'

López ↑ ·

Frutos ↓

68'

Chavarría ↑ ·

Pacha ↓

70'

Nteka ↑ ·

Camello ↓

90'

Valentín ↑ ·

Gumbau ↓

Statistics

GET 0 – 2 RAY

55%

Possession (%)

45%

1.36

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.83

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

65%

Pass Accuracy (%)

66%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

21 · 0 – 2

29'

▮

Alemão

Yellow Card

38'

⚽

Sergio Camello

0–1

Domingos Duarte

Yellow Card

▮

44'

Half-time · 0 – 1

Luis Vázquez

Yellow Card

▮

46'

Álex Sancris ↓ · Kiko Femenía ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

Diego Rico ↓ · Adrian Liso ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

Abu Kamara ↓ · Davinchi ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

46'

50'

▮

Pathé Ismaël Ciss

Yellow Card

Abdel Abqar

Yellow Card

▮

55'

61'

▮

Augusto Batalla

Yellow Card

Mauro Arambarri (P)

Penalty · 1–1

⚽

64'

68'

⇄

Andrei Rațiu ↓ · Alemão ↑

Substitution 1

68'

⇄

Unai López ↓ · Jorge de Frutos ↑

Substitution 2

68'

⇄

Josep Chavarría ↓ · Pacha ↑

Substitution 3

70'

⇄

Randy Nteka ↓ · Sergio Camello ↑

Substitution 4

73'

⚽

Randy Nteka

Assist · Gerard Gumbau · 1–2

Borja Mayoral ↓ · Luis Vázquez ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

79'

Javier Muñoz ↓ · Luis Milla ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

79'

85'

▮

Nobel Mendy

Yellow Card

90'

⇄

Óscar Valentín ↓ · Gerard Gumbau ↑

Substitution 5

90+1'

▮

Randy Nteka

Yellow Card

Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Rayo Vallecano won 2–0 away at Getafe. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.36 to 0.83. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 4 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Sergio Camello (38'), Randy Nteka (73').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.14 units (Brier 0.211).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 1.5	2.57	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.09	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.65	—	62%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.60	—	57%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.82	—	49%	Cashed	+0.82	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.25	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.62	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.50	—	69%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.28	—	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.49	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	7.00	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.89	—	23%	Cashed	+1.89	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.17	—	85%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.11	—	85%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Away Win	4.12	—	23%	Cashed	+3.12	Cashed
Draw	3.39	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	5.00	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.14u	−7% ROI

Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano 0:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled