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Home › Spain › La Liga › Valencia — Atletico Madrid

Predictions by Market: Valencia vs Atletico Madrid

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Valencia
Valencia
Home · last 5 L W D W W
Kick-off
Sat 02 May · 14:15
0:2
Full-time
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
W L W W L Away · last 5
Estadio de Mestalla · Valdivia Referee José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · VAL
46%
Best 1.77
Draw
23%
Best 4.01
Away Win · ATM
31%
Best 4.98
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.08
Fair odds
1.85
book 2.08 · +12.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 54% · EV +12.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (69%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 45.9%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 30.7%
Odds 4.51
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 23.3%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 49.6%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 50.4%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 28.8%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 25%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.8%
Odds 12.50
Show model details
Implied probability 8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.2%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 75%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 47.7%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 52.3%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 30.7%
Odds 3.22
Show model details
Implied probability 31.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 45.9%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 69.3%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
VAL – ATM @ 2.08
+12.4%
Edge
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