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Home Spain La Liga Valencia — Atletico Madrid

Predictions Valencia vs Atletico Madrid May 2, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Valencia
Valencia
Home · last 5 L W D W W
Kick-off
Sat 02 May · 14:15
0:2
Full-time
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
W L W W L Away · last 5
Estadio de Mestalla · Valencia Referee José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain
Home Win · VAL
46%
Best 1.77
Draw
23%
Best 4.01
Away Win · ATM
31%
Best 4.98
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.08
Fair odds
1.85
book 2.08 · +12.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 54% · EV +12.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (69%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 45.9%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 30.7%
Odds 4.51
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 23.3%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 49.6%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 50.4%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 28.8%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 25%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 7.8%
Odds 12.50
Show model details
Implied probability 8%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.2%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 75%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 47.7%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 52.3%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 30.7%
Odds 3.22
Show model details
Implied probability 31.1%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 45.9%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 69.3%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
VAL – ATM @ 2.08
+12.4%
Edge
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