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Levante vs Sevilla 2:0: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Levante
Levante
Home · last 5 L W W W L
Kick-off
Thu 23 Apr · 17:00
2:0
Full-time
Sevilla
Sevilla
W W W L L Away · last 5
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia · Valencia Referee José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 1.95 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.76 ✓
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 43% · book 2.23 ✗
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
1.50 – 0.27
Δ +1.23
Possession
43% – 57%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.56 — +8.2% better than the market.

Levante hosts Sevilla in a La Liga clash where Sevilla's overall quality edge is clear, but Levante's home momentum and recent form offer resilience. Levante's defensive solidity contrasts with Sevilla's slightly less effective offense, suggesting a tight tactical battle. The match may lean towards a cautious pace given moderate goal expectations and balanced recent performances.

  • Levante's home edge in defense could frustrate Sevilla's attack
  • Sevilla's higher overall strength may press for control
  • Recent form favors Levante slightly, hinting at a competitive encounter

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.56 ✗ Lost
AI 69% Implied 64% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

LEV 4-1-4-1 · SEV 3-4-2-1
Subs used · LEV
42' Garcia ↑ · Tunde ↓
63' Arriaga ↑ · A. Olasagasti ↓
63' Alvarez ↑ · Raghouber ↓
85' Etta Eyong ↑ · Espi ↓
Subs used · SEV
65' Sow ↑ · Bueno ↓
65' A. Carmona ↑ · Sanchez ↓
71' Sanchez ↑ · Romero ↓
72' Peque ↑ · Gudelj ↓
84' Ejuke ↑ · Vargas ↓

Statistics

LEV 2 – 0 SEV
43%
Possession (%)
57%
1.50
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.27
8
Total Shots
7
3
Shots on Target
0
3
Shots off Target
6
5
Shots Inside Box
4
3
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
2
17
Fouls
16
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
3
Yellow Cards
4
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

18 · 2 – 0
Oriol Rey
Yellow Card
▮
-5'
-5'
▮
Isaac Romero
Yellow Card
10'
▮
Akor Adams
Yellow Card
I. Romero
Assist · J. A. Olasagasti · 1–0
⚽
38'
V. Garcia ↓ · K. Tunde ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
42'
Half-time · 1 – 0
Ugo Raghouber
Yellow Card
▮
59'
60'
▮
Lucien Agoumé
Yellow Card
K. Arriaga ↓ · J. A. Olasagasti ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
63'
C. Alvarez ↓ · U. Raghouber ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
63'
65'
⇄
D. Sow ↓ · M. Bueno ↑
Substitution 1
65'
⇄
J. A. Carmona ↓ · J. Sanchez ↑
Substitution 2
71'
⇄
A. Sanchez ↓ · I. Romero ↑
Substitution 3
72'
⇄
Peque ↓ · N. Gudelj ↑
Substitution 4
77'
▮
Djibril Sow
Yellow Card
84'
⇄
C. Ejuke ↓ · R. Vargas ↑
Substitution 5
K. Etta Eyong ↓ · C. Espi ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
85'
I. Romero
Assist · K. Arriaga · 2–0
⚽
90'
Iván Romero
Yellow Card
▮
90+1'
Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Levante beat Sevilla 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.50 to 0.27. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: I. Romero (38'), I. Romero (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.65 units (Brier 0.187).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.95 — 52% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.76 — 57% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.23 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.91 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.14 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.61 — 31% Cashed +1.61 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.84 — 31% Cashed +0.84 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.56 — 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.06 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.43 — 59% Cashed +0.43 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.40 — 69% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.31 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.27 — 78% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.09 — 90% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.50 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.30 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.10 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.65u −21% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
LEV – SEV @ 1.56
+8.2%
Edge
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