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Home › Spain › La Liga › Barcelona — Celta Vigo

Predictions by Market: Barcelona vs Celta Vigo

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Barcelona
Barcelona
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Wed 22 Apr · 19:30
1:0
Full-time
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
W W L D W Away · last 5
Spotify Camp Nou · Barcelona Referee José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BAR
79%
Best 1.25
Draw
15%
Best 6.90
Away Win · CEL
6%
Best 10.00
Value pick
Draw
@ 7.60
Fair odds
6.81
book 7.60 · +11.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 15% · EV +11.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (79%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 14.7%
Odds 7.60
Show model details
Implied probability 13.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 79.2%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 6.1%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 54.7%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 45.3%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 97.3%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 90%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 74.8%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 25.2%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 10.1%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 2.7%
Odds 29.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 38.9%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 79.2%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 6.1%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 93.9%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 20.8%
Odds 4.35
Show model details
Implied probability 23%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
BAR – CEL @ 7.60
+11.6%
Edge
Forecast →