Match Osasuna vs Sevilla April 26, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Osasuna enter this clash with a clear home edge, showing more resilience and better recent form compared to Sevilla. Their compact defensive block and slightly superior quality suggest they can control the tempo and limit Sevilla’s attacking threats. Sevilla’s offensive efforts may struggle against Osasuna’s disciplined backline, hinting at a tight contest with limited goals.

Home momentum and defensive solidity favor Osasuna
Sevilla’s attack faces a tough defensive test
Moderate pace expected, leaning towards a cautious game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

OSA 4-2-3-1 · SEV 4-4-2

OSA · 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 · SEV

17 Budimir

Subs used · OSA

62'

Moro ↑ ·

Oroz ↓

71'

Garcia ↑ ·

Munoz ↓

71'

Gomez ↑ ·

Garcia ↓

89'

Bretones ↑ ·

Galan ↓

89'

Barja ↑ ·

Munoz ↓

Subs used · SEV

71'

Mendy ↑ ·

Sow ↓

76'

Sanchez ↑ ·

Vargas ↓

87'

Gudelj ↑ ·

Maupay ↓

87'

Adams ↑ ·

Oso ↓

87'

Peque ↑ ·

Romero ↓

📊 Statistics

OSA 2 – 1 SEV

61%

Possession (%)

39%

1.44

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.43

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

71%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

17 · 2 – 1

▮

Gabriel Suazo

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

Ante Budimir

Yellow Card

▮

51'

R. Moro ↓ · A. Oroz ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

62'

66'

▮

Djibril Sow

Yellow Card

69'

⚽

N. Maupay

Assist · D. Sow · 0–1

R. Garcia ↓ · I. Munoz ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

71'

M. Gomez ↓ · R. Garcia ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

71'

⇄

B. Mendy ↓ · D. Sow ↑

Substitution 1

76'

⇄

J. Sanchez ↓ · R. Vargas ↑

Substitution 2

R. Garcia

1–1

⚽

80'

87'

⇄

N. Gudelj ↓ · N. Maupay ↑

Substitution 3

87'

⇄

A. Adams ↓ · Oso ↑

Substitution 4

87'

⇄

Peque ↓ · I. Romero ↑

Substitution 5

A. Bretones ↓ · J. Galan ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

89'

K. Barja ↓ · V. Munoz ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

89'

A. Catena

Assist · M. Gomez · 2–1

⚽

90'

Raúl García de Haro

Yellow Card

▮

90+4'

Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Osasuna beat Sevilla 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 83% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.44 to 0.43. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 8, 7 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: N. Maupay (69'), R. Garcia (80'), A. Catena (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.08 units (Brier 0.144).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.20	—	51%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.83	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.93	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.14	—	43%	Cashed	+1.14	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.91	—	47%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.75	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.45	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.36	—	76%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.40	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.57	—	51%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.29	—	77%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.08	—	90%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.50	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.37	—	69%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
Draw	3.72	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.85	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.50	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.08u	−24% ROI