Match Oviedo vs Elche April 26, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.95 — +13.6% better than the market.

Oviedo hosts Elche in a clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge, but Oviedo’s home form and defensive solidity could keep things tight. Oviedo’s pressing and compact block may frustrate Elche’s slightly superior attack, while recent form suggests a balanced contest. The match hints at a cautious tempo with under 2.5 goals likely, given both sides’ defensive discipline and moderate attacking threat.

Elche’s offensive edge vs Oviedo’s defense
Home momentum and resilience
Low to moderate pace favoring a tactical battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.95 ✗ Lost

AI 58% Implied 51% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

OVI 4-2-3-1 · ELC 5-3-2

OVI · 4-2-3-1 5-3-2 · ELC

9 Viñas

Subs used · OVI

46'

Fernandez ↑ ·

Sibo ↓

58'

Cazorla ↑ ·

Alhassane ↓

58'

Borbas ↑ ·

Hassan ↓

65'

Lopez ↑ ·

Carmo ↓

76'

Colombatto ↑ ·

Fonseca ↓

Subs used · ELC

62'

Morente ↑ ·

Fort ↓

69'

Valera ↑ ·

Silva ↓

69'

Donald ↑ ·

Aguado ↓

82'

Petrot ↑ ·

Pedrosa ↓

82'

Chust ↑ ·

Sangare ↓

📊 Statistics

OVI 1 – 2 ELC

60%

Possession (%)

40%

1.09

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.42

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 1 – 2

⚽

P. Bigas

Assist · M. Aguado · 0–1

16'

⚽

G. Villar

Assist · A. Rodriguez · 0–2

Half-time · 0 – 2

T. Fernandez ↓ · K. Sibo ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

S. Cazorla ↓ · R. Alhassane ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

58'

T. Borbas ↓ · H. Hassan ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

58'

62'

⇄

Tete Morente ↓ · H. Fort ↑

Substitution 1

Nicolas Fonseca

Yellow Card

▮

63'

J. Lopez ↓ · D. Carmo ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

65'

69'

⇄

G. Valera ↓ · Andre Silva ↑

Substitution 2

69'

⇄

J. Donald ↓ · M. Aguado ↑

Substitution 3

Thiago Fernández

Yellow Card

▮

75'

S. Colombatto ↓ · N. Fonseca ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

76'

I. Chaira

Assist · A. Escandell · 1–2

⚽

76'

82'

⇄

L. Petrot ↓ · A. Pedrosa ↑

Substitution 4

82'

⇄

V. Chust ↓ · Buba Sangare ↑

Substitution 5

90+5'

▮

Germán Valera

Red Card

Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Elche won 2–1 away at Oviedo. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.09 to 0.42. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 12 shots to 4, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 1. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 2 from 0.42 expected goals.

On the scoresheet: P. Bigas (6'), G. Villar (16'), I. Chaira (76'). Germán Valera was sent off in the 90+5' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.24 units (Brier 0.199).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.83	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.95	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.63	—	67%	Cashed	+0.63	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.25	—	40%	Cashed	+1.25	Cashed
Home Win	2.42	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.14	—	36%	Cashed	+1.14	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.83	—	42%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.75	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.17	—	40%	Cashed	+2.17	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.40	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.50	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.41	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.29	—	82%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.08	—	86%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Draw	3.49	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.37	—	61%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.80	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.24u	−13% ROI