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Home Spain La Liga Alaves — Mallorca

Predictions Alaves vs Mallorca April 25, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Alaves
Alaves
Home · last 5 L D W W L
Kick-off
Sat 25 Apr · 12:00
2:1
Full-time
Mallorca
Mallorca
W D L L W Away · last 5
Estadio Mendizorrotza · Vitoria-Gasteiz Referee J. Alberola
Home Win · ALA
39%
Best 2.16
Draw
28%
Best 3.40
Away Win · MAL
34%
Best 4.00
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.75
Fair odds
1.64
book 1.75 · +7.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 61% · EV +7.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (66%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 38.9%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 33.5%
Odds 3.95
Show model details
Implied probability 25.3%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 27.6%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 59.3%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 40.7%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 33.4%
Odds 3.05
Show model details
Implied probability 32.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 66.6%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 79%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.7%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 11.3%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 21%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 54%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 46%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 33.5%
Odds 2.68
Show model details
Implied probability 37.3%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 38.9%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 61.2%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 66.5%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
ALA – MAL @ 1.75
+7.0%
Edge
Forecast →