Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth 3:3 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.70 — +10.0% better than the market.

Preview & Verdict

In the upcoming match between Crystal Palace and Bournemouth, the odds suggest a closely contested affair. Bournemouth's chances of securing an away win are estimated at 37.76% with odds of 3.43, making it a potentially valuable pick. The Double Chance X2 market also offers a promising opportunity with a high confidence level, reflecting a 64.68% chance of either a draw or Bournemouth win. Goals are expected, with Over 2.5 Goals having a 50.38% probability at odds of 2.00. Both teams scoring is likely, with BTTS Yes estimated at 55.49%.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.70 ✓ Cashed

AI 65% Implied 59% +0.70u

+70%

ROI on stake

Lineups

CRY 3-4-2-1 · BOU 4-2-3-1

CRY · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · BOU

14 Mateta ⚽

Subs used · CRY

64'

Nketiah ↑ ·

Pino ↓

Subs used · BOU

67'

Christie ↑ ·

Scott ↓

75'

Adli ↑ ·

J. Kroupi ↓

75'

Hill ↑ ·

Jimenez ↓

76'

Doak ↑ ·

Kluivert ↓

90+1'

Cook ↑ ·

Tavernier ↓

Statistics

CRY 3 – 3 BOU

52%

Possession (%)

48%

4.25

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.03

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

76%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

17 · 3 – 3

▮

Antoine Semenyo

Yellow Card

⚽

E. J. Kroupi

0–1

38'

⚽

E. J. Kroupi

0–2

40'

▮

Tyler Adams

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 2

51'

▮

Marcos Senesi

Yellow Card

Yéremy Pino

Yellow Card

▮

62'

E. Nketiah ↓ · Y. Pino ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

64'

J. Mateta

Assist · D. Munoz · 1–2

⚽

64'

67'

⇄

R. Christie ↓ · A. Scott ↑

Substitution 1

J. Mateta

2–2

⚽

69'

75'

⇄

A. Adli ↓ · E. J. Kroupi ↑

Substitution 2

75'

⇄

J. Hill ↓ · A. Jimenez ↑

Substitution 3

76'

⇄

B. Doak ↓ · J. Kluivert ↑

Substitution 4

89'

⚽

R. Christie

Assist · M. Tavernier · 2–3

90'

▮

Ryan Christie

Yellow Card

J. Mateta (P)

Penalty · 3–3

⚽

90'

90+1'

⇄

L. Cook ↓ · M. Tavernier ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 3 – 3

Match recap

Crystal Palace and Bournemouth drew 3–3. At half-time it was 0–2.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 4.25 to 2.03. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 8, 7 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: E. J. Kroupi (7'), E. J. Kroupi (38'), J. Mateta (64'), J. Mateta (69'), R. Christie (89'), J. Mateta (90').

Model audit for this match: of 14 graded markets, 7 landed and 7 missed, for a net -1.31 units (Brier 0.200).

Bet recap · markets settled

14 · 7 W · 7 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.70	—	65%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
Away Win	3.43	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.00	—	50%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.79	—	55%	Cashed	+0.79	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.31	—	76%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Draw	3.45	—	27%	Cashed	+2.45	Cashed
Home Win	2.33	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.17	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	93%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.96	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.36	—	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.37	—	62%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.61	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.47	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 14 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 7 L	−1.31u	−9% ROI

Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth 3:3: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

Preview & Verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled