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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › England › Premier League › Burnley — Leeds

Match Burnley vs Leeds October 18, 2025

England   /   Premier League
Burnley
Burnley
Home · last 5 L L D L D
Kick-off
Sat 18 Oct · 14:00
2:0
Full-time
Leeds
Leeds
D W D W L Away · last 5
Turf Moor · Burnley Referee Tim Robinson, England
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 51% · book 2.35 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 59% · book 1.93 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 67% · book 1.72 ✓
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
0.45 – 1.67
Δ −1.22
Possession
31% – 69%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Preview & Verdict

In the upcoming clash between Burnley and Leeds, the away side appears to have a slight edge. Leeds' attacking profile and overall strength suggest they could secure a win, with an estimated probability of 50.91% against odds of 2.35. Meanwhile, the defensive shape of both teams indicates a lower likelihood of both teams scoring, making 'BTTS No' a strong consideration with an estimated probability of 58.72% and odds of 1.93. Additionally, the match is likely to see fewer goals, with 'Under 2.5 Goals' having a 67.45% estimated probability at odds of 1.72.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

BUR 4-2-3-1 · LEE 4-3-3
BUR · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · LEE 1 Dúbravka 2 Walker 6 Tuanzebe 5 Estève 3 Hartman 24 Cullen 16 Luís 7 Larsen 8 Ugochukwu ⚽ 11 Anthony 19 Flemming 26 Darlow 2 Bogle 6 Rodon 5 Struijk 3 Gudmundsson 8 Longstaff 4 Ampadu 18 Stach 11 Aaronson 9 Calvert-Lewin 20 Harrison
Subs used · BUR
58' Tchaouna ↑ · Bruun Larsen ↓
77' Laurent ↑ · Flemming ↓
83' Mejbri ↑ · Ugochukwu ↓
83' Barnes ↑ · Anthony ↓
Subs used · LEE
66' James ↑ · Aaronson ↓
66' Nmecha ↑ · Harrison ↓
73' Piroe ↑ · Stach ↓
81' Tanaka ↑ · Ampadu ↓

📊 Statistics

BUR 2 – 0 LEE
31%
Possession (%)
69%
0.45
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.67
4
Total Shots
19
3
Shots on Target
4
1
Shots off Target
12
1
Shots Inside Box
17
1
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
0
10
Fouls
7
76%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
2
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1

⏱ Match events

13 · 2 – 0
L. Ugochukwu
Assist · K. Walker · 1–0
⚽
18'
Half-time · 1 – 0
Jaidon Anthony
Yellow Card
▮
52'
L. Tchaouna ↓ · J. Bruun Larsen ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
58'
66'
⇄
D. James ↓ · B. Aaronson ↑
Substitution 1
66'
⇄
L. Nmecha ↓ · J. Harrison ↑
Substitution 2
L. Tchaouna
Assist · Florentino · 2–0
⚽
68'
73'
⇄
J. Piroe ↓ · A. Stach ↑
Substitution 3
J. Laurent ↓ · Z. Flemming ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
77'
81'
⇄
A. Tanaka ↓ · E. Ampadu ↑
Substitution 4
H. Mejbri ↓ · L. Ugochukwu ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
83'
A. Barnes ↓ · J. Anthony ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
83'
Hannibal Mejbri
Yellow Card
▮
90+2'
90+2'
▮
Pascal Struijk
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.35 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.93 — 59% Cashed +0.93 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.72 — 67% Cashed +0.72 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.17 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.36 — 78% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.25 — 85% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Home Win 3.43 — 22% Cashed +2.43 Cashed
Draw 3.37 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.95 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.09 — 85% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.00 — 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.42 — 60% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.35 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.67 — 49% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.66 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L −2.49u −17% ROI