Match VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayern München May 9, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 1.77 — +10.2% better than the market.

Bayern München arrives at Volkswagen Arena with a clear quality edge and superior attacking firepower, suggesting they will control the tempo and create numerous chances. Wolfsburg’s recent form shows some resilience but their defensive struggles against high-caliber offenses could be exposed here. Expect Bayern’s dynamic offense to test Wolfsburg’s compact block, while the home side might rely on counterattacks and set-pieces to threaten.

Bayern’s offensive superiority likely to dominate
Wolfsburg’s defense under pressure
Potential for a high-scoring game given attacking mismatches

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5

Over 3.5 @ 1.77 ✗ Lost

AI 62% Implied 57% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

WOL 0 – 1 BAY

31%

Possession (%)

69%

3.07

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.86

17

Total Shots

16

5

Shots on Target

9

7

Shots off Target

5

14

Shots Inside Box

9

6

Corner Kicks

3

2

Offsides

4

8

Fouls

5

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

89%

1

Yellow Cards

0

8

Goalkeeper Saves

5

⏱ Match events

13 · 0 – 1

36'

⚽

H. Kane (P)

Penalty · Assist · H. Kane · 0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

46'

⇄

D. Upamecano ↓ · Kim Min-Jae ↑

Substitution 1

46'

⇄

K. Laimer ↓ · L. Goretzka ↑

Substitution 2

56'

⚽

M. Olise

Assist · K. Laimer · 0–2

58'

⇄

L. Diaz ↓ · N. Jackson ↑

Substitution 3

L. Majer ↓ · P. Wimmer ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

66'

M. Svanberg ↓ · C. Eriksen ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

66'

Y. Gerhardt ↓ · Vini Souza ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

74'

K. Shiogai ↓ · A. Daghim ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

74'

76'

⇄

L. Karl ↓ · J. Musiala ↑

Substitution 4

84'

⇄

J. Tah ↓ · H. Ito ↑

Substitution 5

J. Lindstrom ↓ · S. Kumbedi ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90'

K. Shiogai

Yellow Card

▮

90+1'

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Bayern München won 1–0 away at VfL Wolfsburg. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 69% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.07 to 1.86. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves.

On the scoresheet: M. Olise (56').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net +6.89 units (Brier 0.343).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	1.77	1.62	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.58	1.55	66%	Cashed	+0.58	Cashed
Under 3.5	2.22	2.38	38%	Cashed	+1.22	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.53	2.45	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.25	1.18	84%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.24	1.23	66%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.30	1.22	79%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	3.30	3.25	30%	Cashed	+2.30	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.08	1.05	91%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.62	4.74	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.33	1.32	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	3.80	4.00	21%	Cashed	+2.80	Cashed
Under 1.5	8.50	9.01	9%	Cashed	+7.50	Cashed
Home Win	4.47	5.00	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.92	3.91	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	+6.89u	+46% ROI

Match VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayern München May 9, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Over 3.5 at 1.77 — +10.2% better than the market.

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled