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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › VfB Stuttgart — Werder Bremen

Predictions by Market: VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
Home · last 5 L D D W D
Kick-off
Sun 26 Apr · 13:30
1:1
Full-time
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
W D L L L Away · last 5
Referee Christian Dingert, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · STU
68%
Best 1.56
Draw
21%
Best 4.68
Away Win · WER
11%
Best 6.15
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.90
Fair odds
2.58
book 2.90 · +12.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 39% · EV +12.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (61%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 68.3%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 20.6%
Odds 4.80
Show model details
Implied probability 20.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 11.1%
Odds 6.75
Show model details
Implied probability 14.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 60.4%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 39.6%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 38.8%
Odds 2.90
Show model details
Implied probability 34.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 17.8%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 61.2%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.6%
Odds 24.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.4%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 42.3%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57.7%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 68.3%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 11.1%
Odds 5.20
Show model details
Implied probability 19.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 31.7%
Odds 2.57
Show model details
Implied probability 38.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 88.9%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
STU – WER @ 2.90
+12.5%
Edge
Forecast →