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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › FC Augsburg — Eintracht Frankfurt

FC Augsburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
Home · last 5 W D W W L
Kick-off
Sat 25 Apr · 13:30
1:1
Full-time
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
L D L L D Away · last 5
WWK Arena · Augsburg Referee Harm Osmers, Germany
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 45% · book 2.63 ✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 45% · book 2.48 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 42% · book 2.65 ✗
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
2.01 – 1.08
Δ +0.93
Possession
40% – 60%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 5.10 — +14.1% better than the market.

Eintracht Frankfurt arrives at WWK Arena with a clear quality edge and a pressing advantage, despite Augsburg's home momentum. Frankfurt's stronger attack meets a resilient but less potent Augsburg defense, suggesting chances for away breakthroughs. Augsburg's recent form shows some inconsistency, while Frankfurt's slightly better recent results hint at growing confidence.

  • Frankfurt's offensive edge against Augsburg's defense
  • Augsburg's home edge is mild but present
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical discipline over wild open play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5
Under 1.5 @ 5.10 ✗ Lost
AI 22% Implied 20% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

AUG 3-4-2-1 · EIN 4-2-3-1
AUG · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · EIN 1 Dahmen 34 Chaves 6 Gouweleeuw 16 Zesiger 19 Fellhauer 4 Massengo 32 Rieder 13 Giannoulis 30 Kade ⚽ 20 Claude-Maurice 38 Gregoritsch 23 Zetterer 5 Amenda 15 Skhiri 4 Koch 21 Brown 6 Højlund 16 Larsson 29 Amaimouni-Echghouyab 42 Uzun 31 Arrhov 25 Kalimuendo
Subs used · AUG
59' Ribeiro ↑ · Gregoritsch ↓
73' Jakic ↑ · Massengo ↓
73' Wolf ↑ · Fellhauer ↓
86' Komur ↑ · Claude-Maurice ↓
86' Matsima ↑ · Gouweleeuw ↓
Subs used · EIN
46' Knauff ↑ · Amaimouni ↓
46' Doan ↑ · Arrhov ↓
82' Kristensen ↑ · Amenda ↓
88' Burkardt ↑ · Y. Uzun ↓
88' Chaibi ↑ · Hojlund ↓

Statistics

AUG 1 – 1 EIN
40%
Possession (%)
60%
2.01
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.08
17
Total Shots
20
3
Shots on Target
7
8
Shots off Target
9
13
Shots Inside Box
10
9
Corner Kicks
7
1
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
13
76%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
1
Yellow Cards
2
6
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

15 · 1 – 1
7'
▮
Ellyes Skhiri
Yellow Card
A. Kade
1–0
⚽
44'
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
▮
Ritsu Doan
Yellow Card
46'
⇄
A. Knauff ↓ · A. Amaimouni ↑
Substitution 1
46'
⇄
R. Doan ↓ · L. Arrhov ↑
Substitution 2
R. Ribeiro ↓ · M. Gregoritsch ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
59'
66'
⚽
R. Doan
Assist · C. Y. Uzun · 1–1
Han-Noah Massengo
Yellow Card
▮
70'
K. Jakic ↓ · H. Massengo ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
73'
M. Wolf ↓ · R. Fellhauer ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
73'
82'
⇄
R. Kristensen ↓ · A. Amenda ↑
Substitution 3
M. Komur ↓ · A. Claude-Maurice ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
86'
C. Matsima ↓ · J. Gouweleeuw ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
86'
88'
⇄
J. Burkardt ↓ · C. Y. Uzun ↑
Substitution 4
88'
⇄
F. Chaibi ↓ · O. Hojlund ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

FC Augsburg and Eintracht Frankfurt drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 87% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.01 to 1.08. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: A. Kade (44'), R. Doan (66').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.62 units (Brier 0.162).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.63 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.48 — 45% Cashed +1.48 Cashed
BTTS No 2.65 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.62 — 66% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.96 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.31 — 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.46 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.88 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.53 — 69% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.10 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.52 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.43 — 58% Cashed +0.43 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.45 — 55% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
Under 0.5 17.00 — 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 — 94% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Draw 3.70 — 24% Cashed +2.70 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.15 — 78% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.62u −15% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
AUG – EIN @ 5.10
+14.1%
Edge
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