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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Union Berlin — VfL Wolfsburg

Predictions by Market: Union Berlin vs VfL Wolfsburg

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
Home · last 5 L L D W W
Kick-off
Sat 18 Apr · 13:30
1:2
Full-time
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
D L W D L Away · last 5
An der Alten Försterei · Berlin Referee Florian Badstubner, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · UNI
42%
Best 2.18
Draw
25%
Best 3.50
Away Win · WOL
34%
Best 3.20
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.86
Fair odds
3.67
book 3.86 · +5.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 27% · EV +5.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (73%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 41.6%
Odds 2.21
Show model details
Implied probability 45.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 33.9%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 24.5%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 52.2%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 47.8%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 27.3%
Odds 3.86
Show model details
Implied probability 25.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.2%
Odds 12.60
Show model details
Implied probability 7.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 73.4%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.9%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 26.6%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 52%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 33.9%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 41.6%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 58.4%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 66.1%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
UNI – WOL @ 3.86
+5.2%
Edge
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