Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1. FC Heidenheim 2:2

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.55 — +8.7% better than the market.

Borussia Mönchengladbach holds a clear quality edge and home momentum against 1. FC Heidenheim, who struggle for form and defensive solidity. Gladbach’s pressing and compact block should limit Heidenheim’s attacking chances, while their own offensive threat is slightly superior. Recent form favors the hosts, suggesting a controlled game with moderate goal opportunities.

Home side’s defensive resilience vs away attack
Better recent form and home comfort
Moderate pace expected from balanced xG and odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.55 ✗ Lost

AI 70% Implied 65% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

MOE 3-4-2-1 · HEI 4-4-2

MOE · 3-4-2-1 4-4-2 · HEI

9 Honorat ⚽

36 Mohya

18 Machino

Subs used · MOE

63'

Stoger ↑ ·

Engelhardt ↓

63'

Neuhaus ↑ ·

Mohya ↓

70'

Bolin ↑ ·

Reitz ↓

70'

Tabakovic ↑ ·

Scally ↓

85'

Reyna ↑ ·

Machino ↓

Subs used · HEI

49'

Stergiou ↑ ·

Behrens ↓

62'

Kaufmann ↑ ·

Zivzivadze ↓

62'

Ibrahimovic ↑ ·

Honsak ↓

67'

Gimber ↑

Statistics

MOE 2 – 2 HEI

52%

Possession (%)

48%

0.73

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.94

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

17 · 2 – 2

W. Mohya

Assist · J. Castrop · 1–0

⚽

16'

26'

⚽

P. Mainka

Assist · N. Dorsch · 1–1

Jens Castrop

Yellow Card

▮

42'

Yannik Engelhardt

Yellow Card

▮

44'

Half-time · 1 – 1

49'

⇄

L. Stergiou ↓ · H. Behrens ↑

Substitution 1

62'

⇄

M. Kaufmann ↓ · B. Zivzivadze ↑

Substitution 2

62'

⇄

A. Ibrahimovic ↓ · M. Honsak ↑

Substitution 3

K. Stoger ↓ · Y. Engelhardt ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

63'

F. Neuhaus ↓ · W. Mohya ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

63'

⚽

M. Busch

1–2

67'

⇄

B. Gimber ↓ ·

Substitution 4

H. Bolin ↓ · R. Reitz ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

70'

H. Tabakovic ↓ · J. Scally ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

70'

F. Honorat

Assist · S. Machino · 2–2

⚽

74'

Nico Elvedi

Yellow Card

▮

80'

G. Reyna ↓ · S. Machino ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

85'

Kevin Diks

Yellow Card

▮

90+4'

Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Borussia Mönchengladbach and 1. FC Heidenheim drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–1.

For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: W. Mohya (16'), P. Mainka (26'), M. Busch (63'), F. Honorat (74').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.58 units (Brier 0.238).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.63	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.41	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.20	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.70	—	52%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.66	—	51%	Cashed	+0.66	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.45	—	34%	Cashed	+1.45	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.58	—	30%	Cashed	+1.58	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.55	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.10	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.18	—	87%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.25	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	17.50	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.60	—	21%	Cashed	+3.60	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.04	—	93%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.21	—	75%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Away Win	5.80	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.22	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.58u	−3% ROI

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1. FC Heidenheim 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled