Match FC Augsburg vs VfB Stuttgart March 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

VfB Stuttgart arrives at WWK Arena with a clear quality edge and a pressing advantage, despite FC Augsburg's recent home momentum. Stuttgart's stronger attack faces a resilient Augsburg defense, suggesting tactical battles around midfield control and set-piece opportunities. Augsburg's recent wins hint at growing confidence, but Stuttgart's overall strength and form suggest they can exploit defensive gaps.

Stuttgart's offensive edge against Augsburg's defense
Augsburg's home form boosting their resilience
Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

AUG 3-4-2-1 · STU 4-2-3-1

AUG · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · STU

21 Ribeiro

Subs used · AUG

46'

Chaves ↑ ·

Banks ↓

46'

Gregoritsch ↑ ·

Ribeiro ↓

46'

Kade ↑ ·

Rexhbecaj ↓

65'

Jakic ↑ ·

Massengo ↓

86'

Ogundu ↑ ·

Giannoulis ↓

Subs used · STU

70'

Karazor ↑ ·

Andres ↓

70'

Hendriks ↑ ·

Fuhrich ↓

81'

Demirovic ↑ ·

Tomas ↓

81'

Vagnoman ↑ ·

Assignon ↓

85'

Arevalo ↑ ·

Undav ↓

📊 Statistics

AUG 2 – 5 STU

39%

Possession (%)

61%

1.20

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

3.77

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

21 · 2 – 5

12'

⚽

D. Undav

0–1

29'

⚽

T. Tomas

Assist · N. Nartey · 0–2

31'

⚽

N. Nartey

Assist · M. Mittelstadt · 0–3

Half-time · 0 – 3

Arthur Chaves ↓ · N. Banks ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

M. Gregoritsch ↓ · R. Ribeiro ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

A. Kade ↓ · E. Rexhbecaj ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

46'

F. Rieder

1–3

⚽

57'

58'

⚽

D. Undav

1–4

63'

▮

Nikolas Nartey

Yellow Card

K. Jakic ↓ · H. Massengo ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

65'

68'

▮

Chema Andrés

Yellow Card

70'

⇄

A. Karazor ↓ · C. Andres ↑

Substitution 1

70'

⇄

R. Hendriks ↓ · C. Fuhrich ↑

Substitution 2

A. Kade

2–4

⚽

71'

77'

▮

Lorenz Assignon

Yellow Card

Dimitrios Giannoulis

Yellow Card

▮

78'

81'

⇄

E. Demirovic ↓ · T. Tomas ↑

Substitution 3

81'

⇄

J. Vagnoman ↓ · L. Assignon ↑

Substitution 4

83'

⚽

E. Demirovic

Assist · D. Undav · 2–5

85'

⇄

Jeremy Arevalo ↓ · D. Undav ↑

Substitution 5

U. Ogundu ↓ · D. Giannoulis ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

86'

Full-time · 2 – 5

Match recap

VfB Stuttgart won 5–2 away at FC Augsburg. At half-time it was 0–3.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 61% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 3.77 to 1.20. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: D. Undav (12'), T. Tomas (29'), N. Nartey (31'), F. Rieder (57'), D. Undav (58'), A. Kade (71'), E. Demirovic (83').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.12 units (Brier 0.139).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.05	—	56%	Cashed	+1.05	Cashed
BTTS No	2.54	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.45	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.65	—	58%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.50	—	36%	Cashed	+1.50	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.87	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.63	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.35	—	80%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.58	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.56	—	59%	Cashed	+0.56	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.53	—	56%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.00	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	94%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Under 0.5	17.50	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.20	—	80%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Draw	3.98	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.62	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.12u	−24% ROI