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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Borussia Mönchengladbach — FC St. Pauli

Predictions by Market: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC St. Pauli

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Home · last 5 D D W L W
Kick-off
Fri 13 Mar · 19:30
2:0
Full-time
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
D L L L L Away · last 5
Borussia-Park · Monchengladbach Referee Daniel Schlager, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MOE
54%
Best 1.95
Draw
26%
Best 3.41
Away Win · PAU
20%
Best 4.25
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.20
Fair odds
2.82
book 3.20 · +13.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 35% · EV +13.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (65%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 54.2%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.7%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 20.1%
Odds 4.16
Show model details
Implied probability 24%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 37.9%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 35.5%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 11.7%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 81%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.3%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 19%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 57%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 43%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 54.2%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 20.1%
Odds 2.90
Show model details
Implied probability 34.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 45.8%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 79.9%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
MOE – PAU @ 3.20
+13.5%
Edge
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