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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Germany Germany Bundesliga 1. FC Köln — Borussia Dortmund

Match 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Dortmund March 7, 2026

1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
Home · last 5 D L D L L
Kick-off
Sat 07 Mar · 17:30
1:2
Full-time
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
L W L W W Away · last 5
Referee Daniel Siebert, Germany
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 61% · book 1.82
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 62% · book 1.63
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 40% · book 2.45
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
1.14 – 1.95
Δ −0.81
Possession
39% – 61%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Borussia Dortmund enter this clash with a clear quality edge and stronger offensive firepower, despite recent mixed form from both sides. Köln's defensive resilience at home could keep the game tight, but Dortmund's pressing and pace suggest they will control possession and create more chances. The home side's slight form advantage is overshadowed by Dortmund's superior overall strength and attacking threat.

  • Dortmund's attacking edge against Köln's defense favors away pressure.
  • Köln's home momentum may limit goals but not dominance.
  • Moderate pace expected, aligning with balanced goal probabilities.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

KOL 4-2-3-1 · DOR 3-4-2-1
Subs used · KOL
46' Ozkacar ↑ · Johannesson
75' Maina ↑ · Niang
86' Neumann ↑ · El Mala
86' Heintz ↑ · Krauss
86' Bulter ↑ · Ache
Subs used · DOR
61' Silva ↑ · Guirassy
61' Couto ↑ · Ryerson
82' Sule ↑ · Bensebaini
82' Adeyemi ↑ · Beier
90+1' Bellingham ↑ · Nmecha

📊 Statistics

KOL 12 DOR
39%
Possession (%)
61%
1.14
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.95
14
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Shots off Target
4
12
Shots Inside Box
11
9
Corner Kicks
4
5
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
13
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
1
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

16 · 1 – 2
16'
S. Guirassy
Assist · M. Beier · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
C. Ozkacar ↓ · I. Johannesson ↑
Substitution 1
46'
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
Red Card
45+2'
45+5'
Ramy Bensebaini
Yellow Card
60'
M. Beier
Assist · J. Brandt · 0–2
61'
F. Silva ↓ · S. Guirassy ↑
Substitution 1
61'
Y. Couto ↓ · J. Ryerson ↑
Substitution 2
L. Maina ↓ · Y. Niang ↑
Substitution 2
75'
82'
N. Sule ↓ · R. Bensebaini ↑
Substitution 3
82'
K. Adeyemi ↓ · M. Beier ↑
Substitution 4
Eric Martel
Yellow Card
86'
C. Neumann ↓ · S. El Mala ↑
Substitution 3
86'
D. Heintz ↓ · T. Krauss ↑
Substitution 4
86'
M. Bulter ↓ · R. Ache ↑
Substitution 5
86'
J. Kaminski
1–2
88'
90+1'
J. Bellingham ↓ · F. Nmecha ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 1 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.82 61% Cashed +0.82 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.63 62% Cashed +0.63 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.45 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.45 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.61 60% Cashed +0.61 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.60 60% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.49 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.13 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.25 84% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.37 61% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.20 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.19 81% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Draw 4.17 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 17.50 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.50 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.25 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.49u −32% ROI