Everton enter this match with a clear home advantage and a stronger overall profile compared to West Ham, who have struggled on the road and shown defensive vulnerabilities. Everton's recent form is mixed but includes solid home performances, while West Ham's away form is poor with multiple losses. The attacking potential of both sides suggests a moderately open game, but Everton's defensive solidity at home should keep the scoreline controlled. The model favors a home win with a decent chance of a draw, while goals are expected but not in high volume. Key value lies in backing Everton to avoid defeat and considering under 2.5 goals as a safer totals play.
Post-match · 90 sec read
⛀ Lineups
EVE 4-2-3-1 · WES 4-1-4-1📊 Statistics
EVE 1 – 1 WES52%
Possession (%)
48%
0.69
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.17
12
Total Shots
14
6
Shots on Target
3
3
Shots off Target
5
9
Shots Inside Box
10
3
Corner Kicks
5
0
Offsides
2
7
Fouls
16
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
3
Yellow Cards
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
⏱ Match events
15 · 1 – 1Michael Keane
Assist · James Garner · 1–0
18'
James Tarkowski
Yellow Card
24'
33'
▮
Kyle Walker-Peters
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
48'
▮
Soungoutou Magassa
Yellow Card
59'
⇄
Freddie Potts ↓ · Soungoutou Magassa ↑
Substitution 1
64'
▮
Max Kilman
Yellow Card
65'
⚽
Jarrod Bowen
1–1
Thierno Barry ↓ · Beto ↑
Substitution 1
69'
77'
⇄
Luis Guilherme ↓ · Crysencio Summerville ↑
Substitution 2
Tyler Dibling ↓ · Iliman Ndiaye ↑
Substitution 2
81'
82'
▮
Konstantinos Mavropanos
Yellow Card
Vitaliy Mykolenko
Yellow Card
87'
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
Yellow Card
90'
90'
⇄
Andy Irving ↓ · Niclas Füllkrug ↑
Substitution 3
90'
⇄
Igor Júlio ↓ · Lucas Paquetá ↑
Substitution 4
Full-time · 1 – 1
Match recap
Everton and West Ham drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.
At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.
On the scoresheet: Michael Keane (18'), Jarrod Bowen (65').
Model audit for this match: of 10 graded markets, 5 landed and 5 missed, for a net -0.04 units (Brier 0.237).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
10 · 5 W · 5 L| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 1.24 | — | 79% | Cashed | +0.24 | Cashed |
| BTTS Yes | 1.94 | — | 55% | Cashed | +0.94 | Cashed |
| Over 2.5 | 2.10 | — | 40% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 2.5 | 1.88 | — | 60% | Cashed | +0.88 | Cashed |
| AH Home 0 | 1.35 | — | 70% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home -0.5 | 1.80 | — | 55% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Home Win | 1.89 | — | 56% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Draw | 3.70 | — | 23% | Cashed | +2.70 | Cashed |
| Away Win | 4.90 | — | 21% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Home Team Total Over 0.5 | 1.20 | — | 75% | Cashed | +0.20 | Cashed |
| Total · 10 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 5 W · 5 L | −0.04u | −0% ROI |