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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › FC Augsburg — 1. FC Köln

Predictions by Market: FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Köln

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
Home · last 5 W D W W L
Kick-off
Fri 27 Feb · 19:30
2:0
Full-time
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
D L D L L Away · last 5
WWK Arena · Augsburg Referee Tobias Welz, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · AUG
34%
Best 2.20
Draw
26%
Best 3.40
Away Win · KOL
40%
Best 3.30
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.40
Fair odds
2.21
book 2.40 · +8.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 45% · EV +8.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (55%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 34%
Odds 2.41
Show model details
Implied probability 41.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 39.9%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26.1%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 49.5%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 50.5%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 25.1%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 70.7%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 29.3%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.3%
Odds 14.40
Show model details
Implied probability 6.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.7%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 75%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 45.2%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.8%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 39.9%
Odds 2.27
Show model details
Implied probability 44.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 34%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 66%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 60.1%
Odds 1.41
Show model details
Implied probability 70.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
AUG – KOL @ 2.40
+8.4%
Edge
Forecast →