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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › 1899 Hoffenheim — FC St. Pauli

Predictions by Market: 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC St. Pauli

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
Home · last 5 W W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 28 Feb · 14:30
0:1
Full-time
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
D L L L L Away · last 5
Prezero Arena · Sinsheim Referee Deniz Aytekin, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · HOF
69%
Best 1.45
Draw
20%
Best 4.61
Away Win · PAU
11%
Best 6.88
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.14
Fair odds
2.03
book 2.14 · +5.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 49% · EV +5.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (51%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 68.9%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 20.3%
Odds 4.78
Show model details
Implied probability 20.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 10.8%
Odds 6.75
Show model details
Implied probability 14.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 49.2%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 70.8%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 29.2%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 25%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.2%
Odds 14.40
Show model details
Implied probability 6.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.8%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 75%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52.6%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 47.4%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 68.9%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 10.8%
Odds 4.97
Show model details
Implied probability 20.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 31.1%
Odds 2.74
Show model details
Implied probability 36.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 89.2%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
HOF – PAU @ 2.14
+5.3%
Edge
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