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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Werder Bremen — 1. FC Heidenheim

Predictions by Market: Werder Bremen vs 1. FC Heidenheim

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
Home · last 5 W D L L L
Kick-off
Sat 28 Feb · 14:30
2:0
Full-time
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
L W D W L Away · last 5
Referee Florian Badstubner, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · WER
59%
Best 1.62
Draw
23%
Best 4.28
Away Win · HEI
19%
Best 4.93
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.50
Fair odds
3.94
book 4.50 · +14.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 25% · EV +14.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (75%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 22.8%
Odds 4.15
Show model details
Implied probability 24.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 18.6%
Odds 4.51
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 49.6%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 50.4%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 29.4%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 70.7%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 25.4%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.3%
Odds 15.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.7%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 74.6%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 46.8%
Odds 2.27
Show model details
Implied probability 44.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53.2%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 18.6%
Odds 3.28
Show model details
Implied probability 30.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 41.3%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 81.4%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
WER – HEI @ 4.50
+14.2%
Edge
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