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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › VfB Stuttgart — 1. FC Köln

Match VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln February 14, 2026 — Result and Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
Home · last 5 L D D W D
Kick-off
Sat 14 Feb · 17:30
3:1
Full-time
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
D L D L L Away · last 5
Referee Robert Hartmann, Germany
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 59% · book 1.81 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 40% · book 2.41 ✗
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 60% · book 1.60 ✓
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
2.24 – 1.59
Δ +0.65
Possession
57% – 43%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

VfB Stuttgart holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, reflected in their stronger recent form and superior attacking potential against Köln's defense. Stuttgart's pressing and compact block at home should challenge Köln, who struggle to maintain consistency on the road. The match hints at a moderately open pace with chances for both sides, but Stuttgart's sharper offensive edge and better form suggest they can control the game.

  • Home side's attacking threat vs away defense
  • Stuttgart's recent form superiority
  • Moderate tempo favors home pressing style

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

STU 4-2-3-1 · KOL 5-3-2
STU · 4-2-3-1 5-3-2 · KOL 33 Nübel 22 Assignon 29 Jeltsch 24 Chabot 7 Mittelstädt 16 Karazor 30 Andrés 18 Leweling 26 Undav ⚽ 10 Führich 9 Demirović ⚽ 1 Schwäbe 28 Sebulonsen 2 Schmied 6 Martel 39 Özkaçar 32 Lund 29 Thielmann 5 Krauß 16 Kamiński 30 Bülter 9 Ache ⚽
Subs used · STU
70' El Khannouss ↑ · Fuhrich ↓
77' Hendriks ↑ · Mittelstadt ↓
77' Vagnoman ↑ · Assignon ↓
83' Stiller ↑ · Andres ↓
84' Tomas ↑ · Leweling ↓
Subs used · KOL
68' El Mala ↑ · Ozkacar ↓
68' Waldschmidt ↑ · Schmied ↓
84' Huseinbasic ↑ · Bulter ↓
89' Kainz ↑ · Martel ↓
89' Schenten ↑ · Krauss ↓

📊 Statistics

STU 3 – 1 KOL
57%
Possession (%)
43%
2.24
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.59
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Shots off Target
5
8
Shots Inside Box
9
2
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
9
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
77%
4
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1

⏱ Match events

19 · 3 – 1
E. Demirovic
Assist · J. Leweling · 1–0
⚽
15'
Chris Führich
Yellow Card
▮
29'
Half-time · 1 – 0
Jeff Chabot
Yellow Card
▮
53'
Ermedin Demirović
Yellow Card
▮
60'
68'
⇄
S. El Mala ↓ · C. Ozkacar ↑
Substitution 1
68'
⇄
L. Waldschmidt ↓ · J. Schmied ↑
Substitution 2
B. El Khannouss ↓ · C. Fuhrich ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
70'
Bilal El Khannouss
Yellow Card
▮
76'
R. Hendriks ↓ · M. Mittelstadt ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
77'
J. Vagnoman ↓ · L. Assignon ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
77'
79'
⚽
R. Ache
Assist · L. Waldschmidt · 1–1
A. Stiller ↓ · C. Andres ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
83'
T. Tomas ↓ · J. Leweling ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
84'
84'
⇄
D. Huseinbasic ↓ · M. Bulter ↑
Substitution 3
E. Demirovic
Assist · R. Hendriks · 2–1
⚽
84'
89'
⇄
F. Kainz ↓ · E. Martel ↑
Substitution 4
89'
⇄
F. Schenten ↓ · T. Krauss ↑
Substitution 5
D. Undav
Assist · A. Stiller · 3–1
⚽
90'
90+5'
▮
Jakub Kamiński
Yellow Card
Full-time · 3 – 1

Match recap

VfB Stuttgart beat 1. FC Köln 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 85% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.24 to 1.59. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: E. Demirovic (15'), R. Ache (79'), E. Demirovic (84'), D. Undav (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.74 units (Brier 0.100).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.81 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.41 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.60 — 60% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.20 — 41% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.89 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.49 — 70% Cashed +0.49 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.15 — 89% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.47 — 63% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.85 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.18 — 70% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Under 1.5 6.00 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 22.00 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 5.10 — 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 — 95% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.14 — 83% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Away Win 6.70 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.80 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.74u −34% ROI