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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Eintracht Frankfurt — Borussia Mönchengladbach

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 3:0: Match Review & Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
Home · last 5 L D L L D
Kick-off
Sat 14 Feb · 14:30
3:0
Full-time
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
D D W L W Away · last 5
Referee Martin Petersen, Germany
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 57% · book 2.02 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 48% · book 2.20 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 46% · book 2.27 ✓
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
1.82 – 1.18
Δ +0.64
Possession
44% – 56%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.20 — +6.6% better than the market.

Eintracht Frankfurt holds a clear quality edge and a moderate home advantage, but recent form shows struggles for both sides. Frankfurt's offense faces a tough Gladbach defense, suggesting a tight contest. The home side's defensive solidity and slight home momentum could limit goals, aligning with the market's balanced goal expectations.

  • Frankfurt's home edge offers a pressing advantage.
  • Gladbach's compact defense challenges Frankfurt's attack.
  • Both teams show low recent form, hinting at a cautious pace.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.20 ✗ Lost
AI 48% Implied 45% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

EIN 3-4-2-1 · MOE 3-1-4-2
EIN · 3-4-2-1 3-1-4-2 · MOE 40 Santos 13 Kristensen 5 Amenda 4 Koch 29 Amaimouni-Echghouyab ⚽ 27 Götze 16 Larsson 21 Brown ⚽ 20 Doan 19 Bahoya 25 Kalimuendo 33 Nicolas 16 Sander 30 Elvedi 14 Takai 6 Engelhardt 17 Castrop 27 Reitz 7 Stöger 26 Ullrich 9 Honorat 15 Tabaković
Subs used · EIN
17' Dahoud ↑ · Kalimuendo ↓
46' Collins ↑ · Kristensen ↓
70' Knauff ↑ · Gotze ↓
79' Arrhov ↑ · Amaimouni ↓
79' Skhiri ↑ · Larsson ↓
Subs used · MOE
46' Machino ↑ · Sander ↓
65' Scally ↑ · Castrop ↓
65' Bolin ↑ · Stoger ↓
79' Mohya ↑ · Tabakovic ↓

Statistics

EIN 3 – 0 MOE
44%
Possession (%)
56%
1.82
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.18
12
Total Shots
20
9
Shots on Target
3
1
Shots off Target
9
7
Shots Inside Box
16
2
Corner Kicks
8
4
Offsides
1
8
Fouls
10
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
3
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

17 · 3 – 0
M. Dahoud ↓ · A. Kalimuendo ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
17'
N. Brown
Assist · J. Bahoya · 1–0
⚽
24'
A. Amaimouni
Assist · J. Bahoya · 2–0
⚽
34'
Half-time · 2 – 0
N. Collins ↓ · R. Kristensen ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
46'
46'
⇄
S. Machino ↓ · P. Sander ↑
Substitution 1
Mario Götze
Yellow Card
▮
54'
65'
⇄
J. Scally ↓ · J. Castrop ↑
Substitution 2
65'
⇄
H. Bolin ↓ · K. Stoger ↑
Substitution 3
A. Knauff ↓ · M. Gotze ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
70'
A. Knauff
3–0
⚽
75'
Robin Koch
Yellow Card
▮
78'
L. Arrhov ↓ · A. Amaimouni ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
79'
E. Skhiri ↓ · H. Larsson ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
79'
79'
⇄
W. Mohya ↓ · H. Tabakovic ↑
Substitution 4
84'
▮
Rocco Reitz
Yellow Card
Love Arrhov
Yellow Card
▮
87'
89'
▮
Yannik Engelhardt
Yellow Card
Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

Eintracht Frankfurt beat Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.82 to 1.18. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 12, 3 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: N. Brown (24'), A. Amaimouni (34'), A. Knauff (75').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.34 units (Brier 0.123).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.02 — 57% Cashed +1.02 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.20 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.27 — 46% Cashed +1.27 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.83 — 52% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.70 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.91 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.31 — 81% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 — 70% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.90 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.48 — 57% Cashed +0.48 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.33 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 14.00 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 — 93% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.26 — 76% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Draw 3.84 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.82 — 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.90 — 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −4.34u −26% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
EIN – MOE @ 2.20
+6.6%
Edge
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