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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Werder Bremen — Borussia Mönchengladbach

Predictions by Market: Werder Bremen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
Home · last 5 W D L L L
Kick-off
Sat 31 Jan · 14:30
1:1
Full-time
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
D D W L W Away · last 5
Referee Felix Zwayer, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · WER
32%
Best 2.18
Draw
25%
Best 3.55
Away Win · MOE
42%
Best 3.25
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.50
Fair odds
4.00
book 4.50 · +12.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 25% · EV +12.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (75%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 32.4%
Odds 2.49
Show model details
Implied probability 40.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 42.3%
Odds 2.95
Show model details
Implied probability 33.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.3%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 29.7%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 25%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.3%
Odds 14.90
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.7%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 75%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 44.7%
Odds 2.49
Show model details
Implied probability 40.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 55.3%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 42.3%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 32.4%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 67.7%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 57.7%
Odds 1.46
Show model details
Implied probability 68.5%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
WER – MOE @ 4.50
+12.6%
Edge
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