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Home Scotland Premiership Heart Of Midlothian — Rangers

Match Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers May 4, 2026 — Result and Stats

Scotland   /   Premiership
Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian
Home · last 5 W W D W L
Kick-off
Mon 04 May · 16:30
2:1
Full-time
Rangers
Rangers
L L L L W Away · last 5
Tynecastle Park · Edinburgh Referee J. Beaton
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 47% · book 2.45
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 49% · book 2.25
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 54% · book 2.05
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
0.92 – 0.73
Δ +0.19
Possession
42% – 58%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Heart Of Midlothian hosts Rangers in a tightly poised Premiership clash. Despite Rangers' slightly higher overall quality, Hearts enjoy a mild home edge with a compact defense that could frustrate the visitors. Recent form favors Rangers, but Hearts' home momentum and defensive solidity suggest a cautious, tactical battle.

  • Hearts' defensive resilience may blunt Rangers' attacking edge.
  • Rangers' recent winning streak signals growing confidence.
  • Moderate pace expected, likely under 2.5 goals given defensive setups.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

HEA 21 RAN
42%
Possession (%)
58%
0.92
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.73
11
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Shots off Target
5
7
Shots Inside Box
9
2
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
0
8
Fouls
12
71%
Pass Accuracy (%)
77%
1
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

Heart Of Midlothian beat Rangers 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.59 units (Brier 0.217).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.45 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.25 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.05 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.82 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.80 46% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.62 51% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Home Win 2.75 27% Cashed +1.75 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.02 27% Cashed +1.02 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.44 73% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.00 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.40 74% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.53 53% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.00 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 12.00 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 91% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Draw 3.48 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.25 71% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.59u −21% ROI