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Home Karviná — Pardubice

Match Karviná vs Pardubice May 2, 2026 — Result and Stats

—   /   Czech Liga
Karviná
Karviná
Home · last 5 L L W L L
Kick-off
Sat 02 May · 13:00
1:2
Full-time
Pardubice
Pardubice
W W W W L Away · last 5
Referee Jan Machalek, Czechia
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 48% · book 2.44
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 53% · book 2.19
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 40% · book 2.41
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
0.98 – 1.67
Δ −0.69
Possession
62% – 38%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Karviná and Pardubice face off in a closely matched Czech Liga clash. Both sides show similar overall strength, but Karviná holds a slight home edge with a more compact defense. Pardubice’s recent form is impressive, boasting a strong winning streak, suggesting they carry momentum into this game. Expect a tactical battle with modest goal-scoring chances, as both teams have sturdy defenses and the odds hint at a controlled pace.

  • Karviná’s home solidity versus Pardubice’s attacking consistency
  • Recent form favors Pardubice’s confidence
  • Moderate tempo likely, limiting goal rushes

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

KAR 12 PAR
62%
Possession (%)
38%
0.98
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.67
11
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Target
5
6
Shots off Target
4
7
Shots Inside Box
11
7
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
9
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
66%
1
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Pardubice won 2–1 away at Karviná. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 80% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.67 to 0.98. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 4.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -2.56 units (Brier 0.219).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.44 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.19 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.41 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.64 47% Cashed +0.64 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.08 33% Cashed +1.08 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.69 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.35 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.47 72% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.44 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.57 60% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.15 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.99 33% Cashed +1.99 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.53 52% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Draw 3.50 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.16 68% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each 7 W · 8 L −2.56u −17% ROI