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Home › Greece › Super League 1 › PAOK — Olympiakos Piraeus

Predictions by Market: PAOK vs Olympiakos Piraeus

Greece   /   Super League 1 Value pick inside
PAOK
PAOK
Home · last 5 L W D D D
Kick-off
Sun 03 May · 16:00
3:1
Full-time
Olympiakos Piraeus
Olympiakos Piraeus
W L D W D Away · last 5
Referee Simone Sozza, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · PAO
34%
Best 3.13
Draw
28%
Best 3.12
Away Win · OLY
38%
Best 2.35
Value pick
Home Win
@ 3.13
Fair odds
2.95
book 3.13 · +6.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 34% · EV +6.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (38%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 38.1%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 33.9%
Odds 3.13
Show model details
Implied probability 32%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 28%
Odds 3.12
Show model details
Implied probability 32.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 34.4%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 60.2%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 65.7%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 79.4%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.1%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 20.6%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 11.9%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 45.9%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 33.9%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 38.1%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 62%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 66.1%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
PAO – OLY @ 3.13
+6.2%
Edge
Forecast →