Match Anderlecht vs Club Brugge KV May 3, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Club Brugge KV arrives with a clear quality edge and stronger offensive firepower, likely to challenge Anderlecht's defense effectively. Despite Anderlecht's better recent form at home, Brugge's pressing and tactical discipline could tilt the balance. The match hints at a lively tempo with chances for both sides, given the attacking strengths and moderate defensive vulnerabilities.

Brugge's superior overall quality and attack vs Anderlecht's defense
Home momentum favors Anderlecht but is countered by Brugge's form
Potential for open play and goal opportunities on both ends

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

AND 1 – 3 CLU

60%

Possession (%)

40%

1.25

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

3.73

15

Total Shots

22

4

Shots on Target

8

9

Shots off Target

9

8

Shots Inside Box

16

8

Corner Kicks

4

1

Offsides

2

8

Fouls

9

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

2

Yellow Cards

2

6

Goalkeeper Saves

3

Match recap

Club Brugge KV won 3–1 away at Anderlecht. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 3.73 to 1.25. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 15, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 4. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.24 units (Brier 0.111).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.72	—	61%	Cashed	+0.72	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.64	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.28	—	42%	Cashed	+1.28	Cashed
BTTS No	2.45	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.42	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.12	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.22	—	83%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.53	—	63%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.53	—	62%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.32	—	61%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.02	—	95%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.14	—	83%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Draw	4.20	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.50	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	19.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	4.40	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.30	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.24u	−31% ROI