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Home › Switzerland › Super League › FC Basel 1893 — FC Thun

Predictions by Market: FC Basel 1893 vs FC Thun

Switzerland   /   Super League Value pick inside
FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
Home · last 5 L W L L L
Kick-off
Sat 02 May · 18:30
3:1
Full-time
FC Thun
FC Thun
L L L L D Away · last 5
St. Jakob-Park · Basel Referee Fedayi San, Switzerland

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BAS
28%
Best 2.62
Draw
24%
Best 4.00
Away Win · THU
48%
Best 2.42
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 3.10
Fair odds
2.77
book 3.10 · +11.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 36% · EV +11.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (64%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 47.7%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win
Probability 28.4%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 23.9%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 37.5%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 17.2%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 62.5%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 82.8%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 36.1%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 63.9%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 47.7%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 28.4%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 71.6%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 52.3%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
BAS – THU @ 3.10
+11.8%
Edge
Forecast →