Match Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos May 2, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.80 — +11.0% better than the market.

Atromitos enter this clash with a clear quality edge and a slightly better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Asteras Tripolis' home momentum is tempered by a defensive setup that may struggle against Atromitos' sharper attack. The tactical battle will likely focus on Atromitos exploiting defensive gaps, while Asteras aims to control tempo and limit chances.

Atromitos' offensive threat vs Asteras' defense
Home side's compact block and set-piece focus
Moderate pace expected with cautious buildup

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.80 ✗ Lost

AI 62% Implied 56% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

AST 4-2-3-1 · ATR 4-1-4-1

AST · 4-2-3-1 4-1-4-1 · ATR

1 Papadopoulos

3 Šipčić

4 Sylla

13 Triantafyllopoulos

41 Macheda

📊 Statistics

AST 4 – 2 ATR

34%

Possession (%)

66%

3.22

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.46

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

71%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Asteras Tripolis beat Atromitos 4–2 at home. At half-time it was 3–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 66% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 85% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.22 to 1.46. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.76 units (Brier 0.330).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.80	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.76	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.07	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.00	—	38%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Home Win	2.50	—	30%	Cashed	+1.50	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.21	—	32%	Cashed	+1.21	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.71	—	30%	Cashed	+0.71	Cashed
Away Win	3.01	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.51	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.54	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	6.55	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.02	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.43	—	57%	Cashed	+0.43	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.36	—	59%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.17	—	85%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	83%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.98	—	15%	Cashed	+2.98	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.76u	−4% ROI