Match Livingston vs Aberdeen May 1, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.92 — +14.3% better than the market.

Livingston hosts Aberdeen in a clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge and better recent form. Aberdeen's solid defensive record contrasts with Livingston's more vulnerable backline, suggesting a tactical battle leaning towards a low-scoring affair. The home side's slight home edge is tempered by Aberdeen's ability to absorb pressure and counterattack effectively.

Aberdeen's defensive discipline may stifle Livingston's attack.
Livingston's home momentum could create set-piece chances.
Expect a measured pace with under 2.5 goals likely given both teams' cautious approach.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.92 ✗ Lost

AI 60% Implied 52% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LIV 3-4-2-1 · ABE 3-4-1-2

LIV · 3-4-2-1 3-4-1-2 · ABE

7 Nouble

📊 Statistics

LIV 2 – 2 ABE

50%

Possession (%)

50%

1.56

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.70

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

75%

Pass Accuracy (%)

73%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Livingston and Aberdeen drew 2–2. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.56 to 0.70. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 7, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.40 units (Brier 0.251).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.92	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.40	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.15	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.75	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.70	—	46%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.91	—	40%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.08	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.00	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.40	—	75%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.36	—	79%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.75	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.57	—	52%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Home Win	2.93	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.20	—	21%	Cashed	+2.20	Cashed
Draw	3.50	—	27%	Cashed	+2.50	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.04	—	84%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.28	—	64%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.40u	−8% ROI