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Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › Cercle Brugge — Zulte Waregem

Cercle Brugge vs Zulte Waregem 2:3: Match Review & Stats

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge
Home · last 5 W W W L L
Kick-off
Fri 01 May · 18:45
2:3
Full-time
Zulte Waregem
Zulte Waregem
W W W W W Away · last 5
Referee Anthony Letellier, Belgium
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 57% · book 1.86 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 42% · book 2.36 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 41% · book 2.38 ✗
Total goals
5
2 · 3
xG (open play)
2.47 – 1.52
Δ +0.95
Possession
47% – 53%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.86 — +5.8% better than the market.

Cercle Brugge holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, suggesting a competitive but controlled match. Both sides show strong recent form, but Cercle's defensive solidity could stifle Zulte Waregem's attack, hinting at a tight contest.

  • Home side's defensive discipline vs away's moderate offensive threat
  • Balanced recent form with home momentum
  • Likely a measured tempo with moderate goal expectancy

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 1.86 ✗ Lost
AI 57% Implied 54% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

CER 2 – 3 WAR
47%
Possession (%)
53%
2.47
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.52
15
Total Shots
14
7
Shots on Target
7
5
Shots off Target
2
9
Shots Inside Box
9
6
Corner Kicks
7
2
Offsides
0
13
Fouls
12
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
0
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match recap

Zulte Waregem won 3–2 away at Cercle Brugge. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.47 to 1.52.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.38 units (Brier 0.267).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.86 — 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.36 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.38 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.60 — 58% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.38 — 36% Cashed +1.38 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.94 — 43% Cashed +0.94 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.28 — 80% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.53 — 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.53 — 59% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.42 — 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 17.00 — 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.00 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 — 94% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.08 — 20% Cashed +2.08 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.17 — 80% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Draw 3.93 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.90 — 20% Cashed +2.90 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −0.38u −2% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
CER – WAR @ 1.86
+5.8%
Edge
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