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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Borussia Mönchengladbach — VfB Stuttgart

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs VfB Stuttgart 0:3: Match Review & Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Home · last 5 D D W L W
Kick-off
Sun 25 Jan · 14:30
0:3
Full-time
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
L D D W D Away · last 5
Borussia-Park · Monchengladbach Referee Sören Storks, Germany
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 51% · book 2.34 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 39% · book 2.80 ✓
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 62% · book 1.67 ✓
Total goals
3
0 · 3
xG (open play)
1.12 – 1.81
Δ −0.69
Possession
44% – 56%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.44 — +8.0% better than the market.

Stuttgart enters this clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Their sharper attack faces a Gladbach defense that has struggled lately, hinting at potential breakthroughs. However, Gladbach’s home momentum and compact defensive setup could limit Stuttgart’s scoring opportunities, making this a tactical battle.

  • Stuttgart’s offensive edge vs Gladbach’s shaky defense
  • Gladbach’s home resilience and pressing intensity
  • Moderate pace expected with balanced goal chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.44 ✓ Cashed
AI 75% Implied 69% +0.44u
+44%
ROI on stake

Lineups

MOE 4-2-3-1 · STU 4-2-3-1
MOE · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · STU 33 Nicolas 29 Scally 14 Takai 30 Elvedi 26 Ullrich 16 Sander 10 Neuhaus 9 Honorat 27 Reitz 18 Machino 15 Tabaković 33 Nübel 4 Vagnoman 29 Jeltsch 24 Chabot 3 Hendriks 16 Karazor 6 Stiller 27 Bouanani 28 Nartey 18 Leweling ⚽ 9 Demirović
Subs used · MOE
65' Mohya ↑ · Honorat ↓
65' Sarco ↑ · Reitz ↓
74' Stoger ↑ · Neuhaus ↓
86' C. Chiarodia ↑ · Ullrich ↓
86' Engelhardt ↑ · Sander ↓
Subs used · STU
60' Fuhrich ↑ · Leweling ↓
61' Undav ↑ · Demirovic ↓
73' Mittelstadt ↑ · Hendriks ↓
79' El Khannouss ↑ · Nartey ↓
79' Andres ↑ · Stiller ↓

Statistics

MOE 0 – 3 STU
44%
Possession (%)
56%
1.12
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.81
12
Total Shots
17
3
Shots on Target
8
6
Shots off Target
4
3
Shots Inside Box
8
1
Corner Kicks
4
11
Fouls
7
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
1
Yellow Cards
1
6
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

15 · 0 – 3
30'
⚽
J. Leweling
0–1
43'
▮
Atakan Karazor
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 1
60'
⇄
C. Fuhrich ↓ · J. Leweling ↑
Substitution 1
61'
⇄
D. Undav ↓ · E. Demirovic ↑
Substitution 2
W. Mohya ↓ · F. Honorat ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
65'
A. Sarco ↓ · R. Reitz ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
65'
67'
⚽
J. Scally
Own goal · 0–2
73'
⇄
M. Mittelstadt ↓ · R. Hendriks ↑
Substitution 3
K. Stoger ↓ · F. Neuhaus ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
74'
74'
⚽
D. Undav
Assist · A. Stiller · 0–3
79'
⇄
B. El Khannouss ↓ · N. Nartey ↑
Substitution 4
79'
⇄
C. Andres ↓ · A. Stiller ↑
Substitution 5
Lukas Ullrich
Yellow Card
▮
85'
F. C. Chiarodia ↓ · L. Ullrich ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
86'
Y. Engelhardt ↓ · P. Sander ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
86'
Full-time · 0 – 3

Match recap

VfB Stuttgart won 3–0 away at Borussia Mönchengladbach. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.81 to 1.12. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 12, 8 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 4 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

On the scoresheet: J. Leweling (30'), J. Scally (67'), D. Undav (74').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.22 units (Brier 0.142).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.34 — 51% Cashed +1.34 Cashed
BTTS No 2.80 — 39% Cashed +1.80 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.67 — 62% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.55 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.40 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.76 — 51% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.68 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.24 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.44 — 75% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.56 — 60% Cashed +0.56 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.48 — 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.02 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.50 — 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 — 95% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Under 0.5 18.50 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.18 — 81% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Draw 3.90 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.22u −19% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
MOE – STU @ 1.44
+8.0%
Edge
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