Match Servette FC vs FC Winterthur April 26, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.78 — +12.0% better than the market.

Servette FC enters this clash with clear home momentum, boasting a solid defensive setup that challenges Winterthur's modest attack. The quality gap heavily favors Servette, who also show better recent form and a pressing edge at home. Expect a controlled pace with Servette managing the game tempo and limiting Winterthur’s chances.

Strong home defensive resilience
Superior recent form and quality
Likely low to moderate scoring tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.78 ✗ Lost

AI 63% Implied 56% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SER 4-2-3-1 · WIN 3-4-2-1

SER · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · WIN

97 Ayé

📊 Statistics

SER 5 – 3 WIN

48%

Possession (%)

52%

3.78

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.82

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Servette FC beat FC Winterthur 5–3 at home. At half-time it was 3–2.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.78 to 0.82. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 7, 12 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 3 from 0.82 expected goals.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -5.38 units (Brier 0.138).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.78	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.80	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.23	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.60	—	51%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.00	—	37%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.90	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.10	—	90%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Home Win	1.36	—	71%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.96	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.08	—	71%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Draw	5.00	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.11	—	76%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.37	—	57%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
Away Win	6.61	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	5.45	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−5.38u	−36% ROI