Match Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian April 26, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.90 — +11.1% better than the market.

Hibernian hosts Heart Of Midlothian in a clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge, reflected in their stronger overall profile and offensive threat. Despite Hibernian's solid home form and defensive resilience, Hearts' sharper attack against a less robust defense suggests they can break through. Recent form favors Hibernian slightly, but the away side's pressing and goal threat could tilt the balance.

Hearts' offensive edge versus Hibernian's defense
Home momentum and compact block from Hibernian
Balanced pace hinting at a controlled but open game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.90 ✗ Lost

AI 58% Implied 53% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

HIB 3-4-1-2 · HEA 3-4-1-2

HIB · 3-4-1-2 3-4-1-2 · HEA

47 Elding

📊 Statistics

HIB 1 – 2 HEA

24%

Possession (%)

76%

0.52

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.83

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

43%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Heart Of Midlothian won 2–1 away at Hibernian. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 76% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 81% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.83 to 0.52. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 4, 6 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 11 to 0. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.19 units (Brier 0.159).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.90	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.45	—	47%	Cashed	+1.45	Cashed
BTTS No	2.08	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.75	—	47%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	47%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.89	—	42%	Cashed	+0.89	Cashed
Home Win	2.80	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.02	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.40	—	74%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.50	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.52	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.95	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.20	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.33	—	78%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	89%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	3.30	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.27	—	67%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.19u	−25% ROI