Dundee Utd vs Dundee 3:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.21 — +14.9% better than the market.

Dundee Utd carry a clear quality edge into this derby at Tannadice Park, backed by stronger recent form and a notable home momentum. Their offensive edge against Dundee's defense suggests they can create chances, while their solid defensive shape should limit Dundee's opportunities. The match hints at a moderately paced contest with a slight leaning towards fewer goals given both sides' defensive discipline.

Home side's sharper recent results and higher quality
Offensive pressure likely to test away defense
Compact defensive setups may keep scoring moderate

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.21 ✓ Cashed

AI 52% Implied 45% +1.21u

+121%

ROI on stake

Lineups

DUN 3-4-2-1 · DUN 4-1-4-1

DUN · 3-4-2-1 4-1-4-1 · DUN

36 Watters

Statistics

DUN 3 – 0 DUN

48%

Possession (%)

52%

2.18

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.85

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

64%

Pass Accuracy (%)

63%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Dundee Utd beat Dundee 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.18 to 0.85. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 10, 5 on target.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.57 units (Brier 0.132).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.10	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.21	—	52%	Cashed	+1.21	Cashed
Home Win	2.03	—	55%	Cashed	+1.03	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.74	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.72	—	45%	Cashed	+0.72	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.60	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.77	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.47	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.40	—	76%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.03	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.10	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.30	—	79%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.51	—	55%	Cashed	+0.51	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.04	—	85%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	3.68	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.22	—	67%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Away Win	3.30	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.57u	−27% ROI

Dundee Utd vs Dundee 3:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled