Match Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland April 26, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.62 — +10.4% better than the market.

Viborg hosts FC Nordsjaelland in a clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge, reflected in their stronger overall squad metrics. Viborg’s home advantage is tempered by their recent inconsistent form, while Nordsjaelland arrives with momentum from several unbeaten matches. Expect a tactical battle with Nordsjaelland’s offense testing Viborg’s defense, but the home side’s compact block and set-piece threat could keep it tight.

Visitors’ offensive edge challenges home defense
Viborg’s home resilience and set-piece potential
Moderate pace suggested by goal market odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.62 ✓ Cashed

AI 68% Implied 62% +0.62u

+62%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

VIB 4-2-2-2 · NOR 3-4-2-1

VIB · 4-2-2-2 3-4-2-1 · NOR

19 Hanza

📊 Statistics

VIB 1 – 0 NOR

36%

Possession (%)

64%

2.21

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.85

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

69%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Viborg beat FC Nordsjaelland 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 82% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.21 to 0.85. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 14, 8 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.96 units (Brier 0.262).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.62	—	68%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Away Win	2.75	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.63	—	44%	Cashed	+1.63	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.45	—	48%	Cashed	+1.45	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.05	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.31	—	33%	Cashed	+1.31	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.25	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.72	—	33%	Cashed	+0.72	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.59	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.80	—	25%	Cashed	+3.80	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.41	—	57%	Cashed	+0.41	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.43	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.47	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.90	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	—	92%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Draw	3.70	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.13	—	75%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+0.96u	+6% ROI