Match Sturm Graz vs Austria Vienna April 26, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.93 — +13.8% better than the market.

Sturm Graz holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, supported by a solid defensive setup that challenges Austria Vienna’s attack. The home side’s pressing and compact block could limit Austria’s scoring chances, especially given their recent inconsistent form. Expect a tactical battle with moderate pace, as both teams show signs of cautious play and a tendency toward fewer goals.

Home defensive resilience vs away offensive struggles
Recent form favors home side’s stability
Likely controlled tempo with limited goal openings

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.93 ✓ Cashed

AI 59% Implied 52% +0.93u

+93%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

STU 3-1-4-2 · AUT 3-4-2-1

STU · 3-1-4-2 3-4-2-1 · AUT

20 Jatta

📊 Statistics

STU 1 – 1 AUT

61%

Possession (%)

39%

1.08

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.13

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

73%

Pass Accuracy (%)

57%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Sturm Graz and Austria Vienna drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 73% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 7, 5 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.36 units (Brier 0.163).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.93	—	59%	Cashed	+0.93	Cashed
Home Win	2.20	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.08	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.61	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.63	—	49%	Cashed	+0.63	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	46%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.85	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.23	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.55	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	10.00	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.36	—	77%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.33	—	78%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Away Win	3.08	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.10	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	88%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	3.42	—	26%	Cashed	+2.42	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.25	—	66%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.36u	−20% ROI