Match TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz April 26, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.10 — +12.1% better than the market.

Lask Linz arrive with a clear quality edge and a pressing advantage, likely to challenge TSV Hartberg’s compact defensive block. Hartberg’s recent home form shows some resilience, but Linz’s sharper attack against a slightly vulnerable defense suggests they can unlock chances. The match hints at a moderate tempo with a balanced goal environment, supported by their history of tight, high-scoring draws.

Linz’s offensive edge vs Hartberg’s defense
Hartberg’s home momentum under pressure
Moderate pace favors tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.10 ✗ Lost

AI 53% Implied 48% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

HAR 3-5-1-1 · LAS 3-4-1-2

HAR · 3-5-1-1 3-4-1-2 · LAS

22 Hoffmann

📊 Statistics

HAR 1 – 5 LAS

54%

Possession (%)

46%

0.67

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.93

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Lask Linz won 5–1 away at TSV Hartberg. At half-time it was 0–2.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.93 to 0.67. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 6, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 5 from 1.93 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.50 units (Brier 0.172).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.10	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.00	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.64	—	63%	Cashed	+0.64	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.70	—	48%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.20	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.70	—	47%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.75	—	26%	Cashed	+1.75	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.00	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.40	—	74%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.18	—	85%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.27	—	63%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.50	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	91%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	4.03	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.22	—	71%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Home Win	4.78	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.60	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.50u	−26% ROI