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Home Switzerland Super League FC Thun — FC Lugano

Predictions FC Thun vs FC Lugano April 25, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

FC Thun
FC Thun
Home · last 5 L L L L D
Kick-off
Sat 25 Apr · 18:30
0:1
Full-time
FC Lugano
FC Lugano
W W L D W Away · last 5
Stockhorn Arena · Thun Referee Luca Cibelli, Switzerland
Home Win · THU
57%
Best 1.93
Draw
23%
Best 4.00
Away Win · LUG
20%
Best 3.57
Value pick
Home Win
@ 1.90
Fair odds
1.76
book 1.90 · +8.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 57% · EV +8.2%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 56.9%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 23.4%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 19.7%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 63.4%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 42.1%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 36.7%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 57.9%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 20.4%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.8%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.2%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 79.6%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 41.9%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 58.1%
Odds 1.46
Show model details
Implied probability 68.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 19.7%
Odds 2.64
Show model details
Implied probability 37.9%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 56.9%
Odds 1.41
Show model details
Implied probability 70.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 43.1%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 80.3%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.