Match Lausanne vs FC Zurich April 25, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.66 — +9.4% better than the market.

Lausanne holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, suggesting they can control the tempo at Stade de la Tuiliere. Their defensive solidity contrasts with FC Zurich’s less effective backline, offering Lausanne a pressing edge. Recent form favors Lausanne marginally, hinting at home momentum despite FC Zurich’s resilience. Expect a tactical battle with a compact block from Zurich and measured attacking intent from Lausanne.

Home side’s defensive strength vs away attack
Close recent form but home momentum
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.66 ✓ Cashed

AI 66% Implied 60% +0.66u

+66%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LAU 4-3-3 · ZUR 4-2-3-1

LAU · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · ZUR

7 Ajdini

📊 Statistics

LAU 3 – 0 ZUR

41%

Possession (%)

59%

1.68

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.77

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

74%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Lausanne beat FC Zurich 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 3–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 84% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.68 to 0.77. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 11, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.78 units (Brier 0.121).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.66	—	66%	Cashed	+0.66	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.58	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.53	—	44%	Cashed	+1.53	Cashed
Home Win	1.80	—	58%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.96	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.18	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.35	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.25	—	81%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.47	—	55%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.44	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.35	—	58%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Under 0.5	17.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	—	93%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Draw	3.92	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.14	—	77%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.88	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.80	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.78u	−28% ROI