Match ST Mirren vs Livingston April 25, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.95 — +13.9% better than the market.

ST Mirren holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, suggesting a controlled tempo at The SMISA Stadium. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Livingston's stronger attack, hinting at a tactical battle where Mirren's compact block could stifle chances. Recent form favors Mirren marginally, adding to their home momentum.

Mirren's defensive resilience vs Livingston's offensive threat
Home edge likely to influence game rhythm
Both sides showing signs of cautious play, favoring fewer goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.95 ✓ Cashed

AI 58% Implied 51% +0.95u

+95%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MIR 3-4-1-2 · LIV 3-4-2-1

MIR · 3-4-1-2 3-4-2-1 · LIV

11 Ayunga

📊 Statistics

MIR 0 – 2 LIV

63%

Possession (%)

37%

1.22

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.80

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

75%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Livingston won 2–0 away at ST Mirren. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 85% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 4, 5 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.20 units (Brier 0.240).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.95	—	58%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
BTTS No	1.95	—	58%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Home Win	1.67	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.15	—	43%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.83	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.80	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	10.00	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.36	—	80%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.65	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.15	—	81%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.10	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.90	—	19%	Cashed	+3.90	Cashed
Draw	3.75	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	82%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.25	—	64%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.24	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.60	—	19%	Cashed	+2.60	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+1.20u	+7% ROI