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Home Germany Germany Bundesliga Hamburger SV — Borussia Mönchengladbach

Predictions Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach January 17, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
Home · last 5 L L W W D
Kick-off
Sat 17 Jan · 14:30
0:0
Full-time
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
D D W L W Away · last 5
Volksparkstadion · Hamburg Referee Robert Schröder, Germany
Home Win · HAM
32%
Best 2.40
Draw
26%
Best 3.40
Away Win · MOE
43%
Best 2.96
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.40
Fair odds
3.83
book 4.40 · +15.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 26% · EV +15.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (74%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 31.5%
Odds 2.57
Show model details
Implied probability 38.9%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 42.7%
Odds 2.95
Show model details
Implied probability 33.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25.8%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 51.4%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 48.6%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 72.4%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 26.1%
Odds 4.40
Show model details
Implied probability 22.7%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 27.6%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8%
Odds 13.30
Show model details
Implied probability 7.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 73.9%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 46.8%
Odds 2.33
Show model details
Implied probability 42.9%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53.2%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 42.7%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 31.5%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 68.5%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X
Probability 57.3%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
HAM – MOE @ 4.40
+15.0%
Edge
Forecast →