Cercle Brugge vs Dender 2:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.58 — +6.2% better than the market.

Cercle Brugge holds a clear quality edge and a solid defensive record that should frustrate Dender, who struggle away and show patchy form. Home momentum is evident with recent wins and a compact backline, while Dender’s attack faces a tough test against Cercle’s disciplined defense. The match hints at a moderate pace with under 2.5 goals likely, given the cautious approach expected from the visitors.

Home defensive solidity vs away offensive limitations
Recent home form supports confidence
Moderate tempo suggests fewer goal-scoring chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.58 ✓ Cashed

AI 67% Implied 63% +0.58u

+58%

ROI on stake

Lineups

CER 3-5-2 · DEN 4-2-3-1

CER · 3-5-2 4-2-3-1 · DEN

9 Ngoura

Statistics

CER 2 – 1 DEN

52%

Possession (%)

48%

0.76

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.55

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

75%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Cercle Brugge beat Dender 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 9, 3 on target.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.91 units (Brier 0.093).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.30	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.12	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.72	—	53%	Cashed	+0.72	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.65	—	54%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.62	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.60	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.58	—	67%	Cashed	+0.58	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.70	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.16	—	88%	Cashed	+0.16	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.52	—	67%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.21	—	67%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Under 0.5	15.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	93%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	4.57	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.21	—	77%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Away Win	6.25	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.48	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.91u	−35% ROI

Cercle Brugge vs Dender 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled